Get ready for an above-average hurricane season in 2018

The pattern of this past month’s sea surface temperature anomalies is not typically associated with active hurricane seasons

June 1 is the official beginning of the Hurricane season in the Atlantic, however Storm Alberta brought flooding and mudslides to the Florida Panhandle and the southeast.

In an average hurricane season, 12 storms are named and six become hurricanes, of which three reach at least category three.

For the season as a whole, Colorado State forecasts 14 named storms, anything with tropical-storm force winds or greater, during 2018.

But it's not just hurricanes; more powerful rain storms across the country are already dumping between 10% and 70% more water on us than they did five or six decades ago.

A year ago the US was hit by three major hurricanes - Harvey, Irma and Maria - that helped drive total losses to more than $215 billion, according to Munich Re.

The researchers wrote there is a 67 percent chance the number of named storms will fall between 10 and 18, and the number of hurricanes between four and eight.

Last year's historic hurricane season claimed lives across the Gulf and caused almost 300 billion dollars in damage.

According to the report, the Atlantic Coast has more than 3.9 million homes at risk of hurricane storm surge, with an RCV of more than $1 trillion.

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Those numbers include Subtropical Storm Alberto, the first name storm of the season which formed before the Atlantic storm seasons official June 1 start date and passed by Florida last weekend.

The prediction is in line with a forecast produced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which was announced in May at the NOAA Hurricane Hunter's headquarters in Lakeland. However, the forecast team believes that neutral ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) conditions are the most likely scenario for this year's season.

"People say, 'Montgomery is so far away from the coast.' When we look at the dangers from tropical systems, 25 percent of fatalities are from inland rain,"said Director of the National Hurricane Center Ken Graham".

While forecasters are more adept at predicting where a storm is headed than ever before, they are not yet as skilled at predicting how strong it is going to become. First, having a storm develop during May is not a precursor to an active season. "I say to them, 'would you mind looking at the housing market before making a decision to come?' I never get a call back", she added.

Both places were pummeled past year by monster storms and both - in the case of Florida it was the plume of once-lovely coral islands known as the Florida Keys - are still struggling to rebuild.

Cash, cellphones and ID are the three most important items to take, said participants in the survey.

Speaking of names, did you make the list?

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