NOAA Predicts Warmer Winter for Much of the US

NOAA Predicts Warmer Winter for Much of the US

Due to this, above-average temperatures look likely for the northern and western United States, Alaska and Hawaii.

The prospect of stormy conditions in the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic means it has the greatest chance of having colder-than-normal conditions of anywhere in the country, Halpert said.

2018-19 Winter Outlook map for temperature.

"Up in ME the forecast is actually what we call "equal chances", which means there's no tilt in those odds, so it's just as likely to be a wetter-than-normal winter as a drier-than-normal winter", says Halpert.

The organization's predictive maps placed ME in a sweeping band of orange, signifying that center forecasters believe the state is among those with a 40 percent to 50 percent chance of being "warmer than normal".

Broadly speaking, "El Nino" refers to a climate effect caused by warming sea surface temperatures in parts of the Pacific Ocean.

No place in the U.S.is expected to experience cooler-than-average temperatures, according to NOAA.

In the winter, the NOAA said, typical El Nino conditions include wetter-than-average precipitation in the southern USA and drier conditions in parts of the northern U.S.

Wetter-than-average conditions are favored across the southern tier of the US, and up into the Mid-Atlantic.

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Drought conditions may worsen in much of Southern and Central California, although the north coast of California may see some relief, according to NOAA. Northern Florida and southern Georgia have the greatest odds for above-average precipitation this winter.

Meantime, drier-than-average conditions are expected for the Great Lakes and portions of the Northern Rockies and the Northern Plains.

But drought conditions are anticipated to improve in areas in Arizona and New Mexico, southern sections of Utah and Colorado, as well as the coastal Pacific Northwest and Central Plains, the agency said.

-This outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations.

NOAA also doesn't forecast specific snow ranges for the season as there's very little accuracy this far out.

NOAA's winter forecast comes as the mercury is finally beginning to dip across most of the country after a summer that lasted well into October in the eastern United States, with temperatures into the 80s and even 90s.

The Farmer's Almanac said that for its winter outlook, the temperatures are going to be cold with "plenty of snow".

Keep your eyes peeled for the next NOAA update on November 15.

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